Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais is a Serie B match at Estádio Heriberto Hülse on Monday, 12 October 2026, kicking off at 19:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Criciuma EC the favourite with a 69% implied chance to win, against 11% for America FC Minas Gerais and 20% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 35% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 32%. Recent form: Criciuma EC L L W W L, America FC Minas Gerais L L L L L.

Criciuma EC averages 1.94 points per game at home, America FC Minas Gerais 0.31 away.
Criciuma EC scores 102% more goals per match than America FC Minas Gerais in these venues.
Criciuma EC concedes 68% fewer goals per match than America FC Minas Gerais in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 35% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 32%.
Expect about 12.9 corner kicks in this match.

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 19:15

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

Estádio Heriberto Hülse hosts a game that tilts decisively toward the home side, backed by the numbers even before the ball is kicked. The market prices reflect a straightforward win for Criciúma, but the data adds texture: a busy, high‑tempo encounter feels baked in.

Market snapshot: Criciúma win 1.20; Draw 4.50; América Mineiro win 8.20. Double Chance Criciúma W or D 1.09. BTTS Yes 2.26; BTTS No 1.62. Over/Under: Over 0.5 goals 1.01; Over 1.5 goals 1.25; Over 2.5 goals 1.90; Over 3.5 goals 3.18.

Home advantage and form: Criciúma at home wins around 56%; xG at home 1.73 vs. América’s away xG conceded around 1.80. América away win rate ~6% with an 81% loss rate — a tough environment to buck the odds.

Goals and xG context: Combined xG between the teams prior to this match sits around 3.11 per game; total match xG for Criciúma 1.73, for América 1.38. Historical total goals around 2.13 per meeting — hints at a 2‑3 goal canvas, with under 2.5 still the more frequent outcome (about 66% historically).

First and second halves: First half over 0.5 goals ~75%; second half over 0.5 goals ~79% — expect an early spark and late action.

Corners: total corners trend shows a busy game is plausible; average around 12.94 per match. Over 7.5 corners at 1.07 and Over 9.5 at 1.48 are within reach; Criciúma often leads corners modestly (about 1.18 for the “most corners” line).

BTTS context: BTTS historically around 32%, suggesting neither a slam-dunk for goals from both sides nor a guaranteed clean sheet; No tends to be slightly favored at 1.62.

Prediction: a 2-1 win for Criciúma feels plausible, with the home edge and xG profile pointing that way. Betting angle: Criciúma win with Over 2.5 goals offers a balanced risk, or take Criciúma W/D for safety and watch for early goal timing. In short, expect a lively, goal‑rich game at times, driven by home control and a willingness to push for the second.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated 11 Oct 2026, 11:10

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Criciuma EC

@ Ceara SC 1 - 0

@ Londrina EC 0 - 2

Avai FC 3 - 0

Operario Ferroviario EC 0 - 2

L

@ AC Goianiense 4 - 0

America FC Minas Gerais

L

Fortaleza EC 0 - 1

L

@ AC Goianiense 2 - 0

L

EC Juventude 0 - 1

L

@ Vila Nova FC 1 - 0

L

Sao Bernardo FC 0 - 2

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

Points per game

1.94 0.31

Win %

56% 6%

Goals scored / match

1.13 0.56

Goals conceded / match

0.63 1.94

Total goals / match

1.76 2.5

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

25% 38%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

Over 0.5 goals

94% 100%

Over 1.5 goals

63% 75%

Over 2.5 goals

13% 56%

Over 3.5 goals

6% 19%

Over 4.5 goals

0% 0%

BTTS

25% 38%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

First half points per game

1.81 0.75

Leading at half time %

50% 19%

Drawing at half time %

31% 19%

Trailing at half time %

19% 63%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.56 0.25

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.56 0.31

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

Corners won / match

7.56 5.38

Corners conceded / match

3.5 5.69

Total corners in their matches

11.06 11.07

Over 6.5 corners

81% 88%

Over 7.5 corners

69% 88%

Over 8.5 corners

69% 88%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

Cards / match

2.63 2.44

Over 2.5 cards

81% 81%

Over 3.5 cards

75% 63%

Over 4.5 cards

63% 44%

Over 5.5 cards

56% 19%

Over 6.5 cards

56% 13%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

Shots / match

16.19 12.38

Shots on target / match

4.31 4.56

Shots off target / match

11.88 7.81

Shot conversion rate

7% 5%

Shots per goal scored

14.39 22

Average possession

56% 53%

Offsides and fouls

Criciuma EC America FC Minas Gerais

Offsides / match

2.25 1.5

Over 0.5 offsides

94% 75%

Over 1.5 offsides

56% 44%

Over 2.5 offsides

44% 25%

Fouls / match

15.25 13.44

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Criciuma EC

0-10'

5

3

11-20'

3

0

21-30'

3

2

31-40'

3

1

41-50'

5

6

51-60'

4

61-70'

2

4

71-80'

2

3

81-90'

6

5

America FC Minas Gerais

0-10'

2

4

11-20'

2

3

21-30'

3

2

31-40'

2

5

41-50'

3

5

51-60'

2

6

61-70'

2

8

71-80'

0

6

81-90'

5

14

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance

Criciuma EC to win 1.32

69%

Draw 4.50

20%

America FC Minas Gerais to win 8.25

11%

Over 0.5 goals 1.01

97%

Over 1.5 goals 1.25

69%

Over 2.5 goals 1.83

35%

Over 3.5 goals 3.20

13%

Over 4.5 goals 6.23

0%

Both teams to score 2.26

32%

Head to head

11 previous meetings.

Criciuma EC 2 Draws 6 3 America FC Minas Gerais

2.18
Goals / match: 64%
BTTS: 55%
Over 2.5 goals

23/06/2026 America FC Minas Gerais 0 - 1 Criciuma EC

12/10/2025 Criciuma EC 2 - 1 America FC Minas Gerais

20/06/2025 America FC Minas Gerais 1 - 1 Criciuma EC

09/06/2021 Criciuma EC 2 - 2 America FC Minas Gerais

02/06/2021 America FC Minas Gerais 0 - 0 Criciuma EC

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Criciuma EC

Goalkeeper

Airton Moraes Michellon 2070' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Marcelo Hermes 2769' 4 G 2 A

Luciano Castan da Silva 2198' 2 G 1 A

Rodrigo Fagundes de Freitas 2072' 0 G 1 A

César Henrique Martins 2007' 1 G 1 A

Midfielder

Fellipe Mateus De Sena Araujo 2179' 4 G 0 A

Guilherme Teixeira Lobo 1957' 0 G 2 A

Rómulo Otero 1672' 3 G 4 A

Eduardo Jacinto de Biasi 1315' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Wagner da Silva Souza 2036' 4 G 1 A

Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva 899' 1 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Bruno Fabiano Alves0.47

Jean Carlos de Souza Irmer0.45

Eduardo Jacinto de Biasi0.41

Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho0.38

Wagner da Silva Souza0.31

Romarinho0.30

America FC Minas Gerais

Goalkeeper

Luis Gustavo de Almeida Pinto 1951' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Rafael Raul Barcelos 1800' 0 G 0 A

Dalbert Henrique 1288' 0 G 1 A

Ricardo César Dantas da Silva 1254' 0 G 0 A

Lucas Sosa 828' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Felipe Amaral Casarin Damasceno 1580' 1 G 1 A

Yago Souza de Santana 890' 0 G 0 A

Gustavo Bonatto Barreto 809' 0 G 0 A

Eduardo Luiz Person 691' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Matías Emanuel Segovia Torales 1516' 3 G 3 A

Willian Gomes de Siqueira 1510' 4 G 2 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Otávio Gonçalves de Oliveira0.54

Emerson Raymundo Santos0.41

Jorge Andrés Roa Jiménez0.37

Rafael Raul Barcelos0.35

Thauan Willians Jesus Silva0.35

Nathan Raphael Pelae Cardoso0.33

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	EC Juventude	32	17	8	7	37	19	18	59
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44	31	13	58
3	Gremio Novorizontino	32	16	9	7	54	27	27	57
4	Fortaleza EC	32	15	11	6	37	27	10	56
5	Criciuma EC	32	15	8	9	33	28	5	53
6	AC Goianiense	32	14	10	8	40	30	10	52
7	Clube de Regatas Brasil	32	15	6	11	49	45	4	51
8	SC do Recife	32	13	11	8	44	34	10	50
9	Operario Ferroviario EC	32	13	9	10	44	43	1	48
10	Cuiaba EC	32	11	14	7	32	25	7	47
11	Sao Bernardo FC	32	12	9	11	44	34	10	45
12	Goias EC	32	13	6	13	32	40	-8	45
13	Athletic Club Minas Gerais	32	10	12	10	38	37	1	42
14	Clube Nautico Capibaribe	32	11	9	12	39	40	-1	42
15	Ceara SC	32	11	9	12	35	39	-4	42
16	Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto	32	10	8	14	36	38	-2	38
17	Avai FC	32	9	6	17	32	43	-11	33
18	Londrina EC	32	7	7	18	40	47	-7	28
19	America FC Minas Gerais	32	4	5	23	21	53	-32	17
20	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17	68	-51	13

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais kick off?

Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais is a Serie B match at Estádio Heriberto Hülse on Monday, 12 October 2026, kicking off at 19:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais?

Bookmaker odds make Criciuma EC the favourite with a 69% implied chance to win, against 11% for America FC Minas Gerais and 20% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais?

Over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.13 goals.

Will both teams score in Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais?

Both teams to score has a 32% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Criciuma EC vs America FC Minas Gerais?

About 12.9 corner kicks are expected. About 5.1 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between Criciuma EC and America FC Minas Gerais?

In 11 meetings, Criciuma EC won 2, America FC Minas Gerais won 3 and 6 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of Criciuma EC and America FC Minas Gerais?

Criciuma EC: L L W W L. America FC Minas Gerais: L L L L L.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.