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America FC Minas Gerais 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC: match stats and result

Brazil - Serie B · Matchweek 32

Wednesday, 7 October 2026

América Mineiro

#19

W L L L L

0 - 1

Full time · HT 0 - 1

Fortaleza

#4

W D W D D

1 · 22%

3.90

X · 28%

3.20

2 · 50%

1.87

Referee: not available

Match summary

How the match went.

Key events

  1. 3'

    Lucas Pacheco Affini

    Goal

  2. Filipe Pereira Dahora

    Substitution · out: Fábio das Neves Gerônimo de Almeida

    9'
  3. 22'

    Pierre Wagner Oliveira dos Santos

    Yellow card

  4. Rafael Raul Barcelos

    Yellow card

    41'

  5. Otávio Gonçalves de Oliveira

    Yellow card

    45+1'

  6. Luidy Montes Carneiro

    Substitution · out: Guilherme Parede Pinheiro

    46'
  7. 48'

    Lucas Xavier Gazal

    Yellow card

  8. 57'

    Lucas Crispim

    Substitution · out: Rodrigo Henrique Santos de Souza

  9. 58'

    Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos

    Substitution · out: Vitor Samuel Ferreira Arantes

  10. Felipe Amaral Casarin Damasceno

    Substitution · out: Otávio Gonçalves de Oliveira

    70'
  11. 71'

    Pedro Henrique

    Substitution · out: Nathan Otávio Ribeiro

  12. 71'

    Juan Camilo Cantillo Cantillo

    Substitution · out: Luiz Fernando Moraes dos Santos

  13. Julio César Leme do Nascimento

    Substitution · out: Paulo Victor Ferreira de Jesus

    85'

  14. Marcelo Enrique Maçola Filho

    Substitution · out: Matías Emanuel Segovia Torales

    85'
  15. 87'

    Kaio Henrique Diogo Domingos

    Substitution · out: Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues

  16. Luidy Montes Carneiro

    Yellow card

    89'

Match stats

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Possession
52% 48%
Shots
8 13
Shots on target
1 3
Corners
3 5
Yellow cards
3 2
Expected goals (xG)
0.92 1.3

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

America FC Minas Gerais 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC in Serie B on 7 October 2026. Recent form: America FC Minas Gerais W L L L L, Fortaleza EC W D W D D.

  • America FC Minas Gerais averages 0.75 points per game at home, Fortaleza EC 1.44 away.
  • Fortaleza EC concedes 41% fewer goals per match than America FC Minas Gerais in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 37% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 43%.
  • Expect about 10.3 corner kicks in this match.

Updated

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

América Mineiro host Fortaleza in Week 32, with Fortaleza priced as the favorite away from home (Win 1.85). América at 4.10 and a 3.40 draw reflect a balanced point where Fortaleza look to capitalise on away steadiness and América’s shaky home ceiling.

Key numbers that stand out

High goal potential from start: Over 0.5 goals at 1.02 and Over 1.5 at 1.34 suggest goals are likely early and often. The baseline is reinforced by a 87% historical rate for at least one goal in these fixtures.

Low total, high certainty under 4.5: FootyStats signals 100% of similar fixtures finish under 4.5 goals. The match is expected to stay tight.

Combined xG around 2.84 (América 1.61 xG home, Fortaleza 1.23 xG away) indicates a 2-goal-to-3-range total, aligning with the under-4.5 view.

Second half a fertile period: 2nd half BTTS and goals have historically been around 10% for each half fixture-wide, but live observations show second halves tend to produce more action (around 74% for at least a 0.5 goal after the break).

Corners tend to be workable: Average total corners near 10.3; Over 7.5 corners at 1.16 and Over 8.5 at 1.36 suggest a busy final third with chances at set pieces.

Away form influence: Fortaleza’s away win rate stands around 33%, while América’s home win rate sits near 20% — Fortaleza carrying a bit more edge on the road here.

What this means for bets

Main angle: Fortaleza to win (1.85) looks the cleanest call given away performance and matchup dynamics, with Double Chance Fortaleza Win or Draw at 1.23 offering extra security.

Secondary angle: Under 2.5 goals (1.80) aligns with the historical under-4.5 trend and the modest xG projection, while still offering a route to a 1-0 or 1-1 finish.

Corners play: Over 7.5 corners is a sensible prop given the typical corner activity and the 10.3 average in this fixture set, despite the low juice (1.16).

Prediction snapshot

Likely score range: Fortaleza edge a tight contest 1-0 or 2-1. Total around 2 goals, with a lively second half and a handful of corners.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Points per game
0.75 1.44
Win %
19% 38%
Goals scored / match
0.75 0.75
Goals conceded / match
1.38 0.81
Total goals / match
2.13 1.56
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
50% 31%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Over 0.5 goals
94% 81%
Over 1.5 goals
69% 44%
Over 2.5 goals
44% 25%
Over 3.5 goals
6% 6%
Over 4.5 goals
0% 0%
BTTS
50% 31%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
First half points per game
1.19 1.44
Leading at half time %
19% 38%
Drawing at half time %
63% 31%
Trailing at half time %
19% 31%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.44 0.38
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
0.31 0.38

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Corners won / match
5.38 4.81
Corners conceded / match
5.38 6
Total corners in their matches
10.76 10.81
Over 6.5 corners
100% 94%
Over 7.5 corners
94% 81%
Over 8.5 corners
75% 69%

Cards

Bookings per match.

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Cards / match
1.75 3.19
Over 2.5 cards
88% 88%
Over 3.5 cards
75% 81%
Over 4.5 cards
50% 50%
Over 5.5 cards
25% 44%
Over 6.5 cards
6% 38%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Shots / match
14.69 11.56
Shots on target / match
4.38 3
Shots off target / match
10.31 8.56
Shot conversion rate
5% 6%
Shots per goal scored
19.58 15.42
Average possession
53% 48%

Offsides and fouls

America FC Minas Gerais Fortaleza EC
Offsides / match
1.5 1.67
Over 0.5 offsides
75% 60%
Over 1.5 offsides
44% 47%
Over 2.5 offsides
13% 20%
Fouls / match
14.5 13.88

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

America FC Minas Gerais

0-10'
2
4
11-20'
2
3
21-30'
3
2
31-40'
2
5
41-50'
3
5
51-60'
2
6
61-70'
2
8
71-80'
0
6
81-90'
5
14

Fortaleza EC

0-10'
3
3
11-20'
1
2
21-30'
5
2
31-40'
3
4
41-50'
7
7
51-60'
5
4
61-70'
2
2
71-80'
3
1
81-90'
8
2

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
America FC Minas Gerais to win 3.90
23%
Draw 3.20
28%
Fortaleza EC to win 1.87
48%
Over 0.5 goals 1.02
87%
Over 1.5 goals 1.35
60%
Over 2.5 goals 2.11
37%
Over 3.5 goals 3.81
7%
Over 4.5 goals 6.40
0%
Both teams to score 1.84
43%

Head to head

11 previous meetings.

America FC Minas Gerais 4 Draws 0 7 Fortaleza EC
3.18
Goals / match
64%
BTTS
82%
Over 2.5 goals
16/06/2026 Fortaleza EC 0 - 3 America FC Minas Gerais
08/10/2023 Fortaleza EC 3 - 2 America FC Minas Gerais
31/08/2023 Fortaleza EC 2 - 1 America FC Minas Gerais
24/08/2023 America FC Minas Gerais 1 - 3 Fortaleza EC
20/05/2023 America FC Minas Gerais 2 - 1 Fortaleza EC

Players

Confirmed starting lineups.

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 18 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 13 58
3 Gremio Novorizontino 32 27 57
4 Fortaleza EC 32 10 56
5 Criciuma EC 32 5 53
6 AC Goianiense 32 10 52
7 Clube de Regatas Brasil 32 4 51
16 Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto 32 -2 38
17 Avai FC 32 -11 33
18 Londrina EC 32 -7 28
19 America FC Minas Gerais 32 -32 17
20 Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta 32 -51 13

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

What was the result of America FC Minas Gerais vs Fortaleza EC?

America FC Minas Gerais 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC. Half time: 0 - 1.

How many goals are expected in America FC Minas Gerais vs Fortaleza EC?

Over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance. Matches of these teams average 1.9 goals.

Will both teams score in America FC Minas Gerais vs Fortaleza EC?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in America FC Minas Gerais vs Fortaleza EC?

About 10.3 corner kicks are expected. About 4.9 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between America FC Minas Gerais and Fortaleza EC?

In 11 meetings, America FC Minas Gerais won 4, Fortaleza EC won 7 and 0 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of America FC Minas Gerais and Fortaleza EC?

America FC Minas Gerais: W L L L L. Fortaleza EC: W D W D D.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.