CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera: prediction, stats and odds

Chile - Primera Division · Matchweek 24

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Concepción

#8

W D W L D

17:30

Starts in 27m

1 · 48%

1.90

X · 27%

3.20

2 · 25%

3.45

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Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo · Referee: to be announced

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera is a Primera Division match at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 17:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make CD Concepcion the favourite with a 47% implied chance to win, against 26% for CD Union La Calera and 28% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 45% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 35%. Recent form: CD Concepcion W D W L D, CD Union La Calera L D L L W.

  • CD Concepcion averages 1.5 points per game at home, CD Union La Calera 0.73 away.
  • CD Concepcion scores 142% more goals per match than CD Union La Calera in these venues.
  • CD Concepcion concedes 41% fewer goals per match than CD Union La Calera in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 45% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 35%.
  • Expect about 10.9 corner kicks in this match.

Updated

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

El Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo acoge un choque entre Concepción y Unión La Calera en la jornada 24 de la temporada 2026. Concepción llega con claro factor casa: 42% de victorias en su estadio, mientras que La Calera, como visitante, promedia solo un 18% de triunfos. La cuota de Concepción para este partido está en 1.90; doble oportunidad Concepción ganando o empatando se sitúa en 1.24.

El xG medio entre ambos en estas edades de enfrentamientos es de 2.69 por partido. En este cruce, Concepción promedia 1.61 xG en casa y La Calera 1.08 como visitante, lo que sugiere un encuentro con al menos dos goles y potencial para más si el ritmo se acelera. Las probabilidades históricas respaldan un partido con goles, especialmente en casa.

En el aspecto de táctica y set-pieces, se espera un choque con volumen de córners alto: el promedio conjunto es de 10.94 por partido. Las líneas de córners indican posibles más de 9, 10 o incluso 11 en el encuentro.

Probables apuestas destacadas:

Concepción para ganar (1.90) — apuesta principal, respaldada por casa y forma vs una visita con bajo rendimiento fuera.

Doble oportunidad: Concepción ganará o empatará (1.24) — cobertura prudente ante el favoritismo local.

Más de 2.5 goles (2.15) — respaldado por xG de ambos y la historia de 2.69 en el cruce.

Más de 8.5 córners (1.40) — el volumen de córners suele ser alto en este enfrentamiento.

BTTS: Yes (1.95) o No (1.77) — opción situacional; BTTS ronda un 35% histórico entre ambos, pero el contexto táctico podría inclinarse hacia al menos una red.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
Points per game
1.5 0.73
Win %
42% 18%
Goals scored / match
1.33 0.55
Goals conceded / match
1.08 1.82
Total goals / match
2.41 2.37
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
33% 36%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
Over 0.5 goals
100% 82%
Over 1.5 goals
75% 64%
Over 2.5 goals
25% 64%
Over 3.5 goals
17% 27%
Over 4.5 goals
17% 0%
BTTS
33% 36%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
First half points per game
1.5 0.82
Leading at half time %
42% 18%
Drawing at half time %
25% 27%
Trailing at half time %
33% 55%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.58 0.18
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
0.75 0.36

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
Corners won / match
5.58 5.36
Corners conceded / match
3.83 4.91
Total corners in their matches
9.41 10.27
Over 6.5 corners
92% 82%
Over 7.5 corners
75% 82%
Over 8.5 corners
50% 73%

Cards

Bookings per match.

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
Cards / match
2.33 2.91
Over 2.5 cards
92% 82%
Over 3.5 cards
83% 73%
Over 4.5 cards
75% 64%
Over 5.5 cards
67% 45%
Over 6.5 cards
25% 45%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
Shots / match
15.58 9.55
Shots on target / match
4.67 2.82
Shots off target / match
10.92 6.73
Shot conversion rate
9% 6%
Shots per goal scored
11.69 17.5
Average possession
50% 48%

Offsides and fouls

CD Concepcion CD Union La Calera
Offsides / match
1.09 1.5
Over 0.5 offsides
64% 80%
Over 1.5 offsides
45% 40%
Over 2.5 offsides
0% 20%
Fouls / match
9.75 9.64

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

CD Concepcion

0-10'
1
3
11-20'
5
1
21-30'
2
4
31-40'
2
2
41-50'
4
2
51-60'
1
4
61-70'
4
1
71-80'
1
4
81-90'
5
5

CD Union La Calera

0-10'
2
3
11-20'
2
3
21-30'
3
2
31-40'
1
4
41-50'
2
7
51-60'
4
4
61-70'
0
2
71-80'
3
3
81-90'
6
7

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
CD Concepcion to win 1.90
47%
Draw 3.20
28%
CD Union La Calera to win 3.45
26%
Over 0.5 goals 1.06
91%
Over 1.5 goals 1.37
70%
Over 2.5 goals 2.15
45%
Over 3.5 goals 3.80
22%
Over 4.5 goals 6.50
9%
Both teams to score 1.92
35%

Head to head

1 previous meetings.

CD Concepcion 0 Draws 0 1 CD Union La Calera
1
Goals / match
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5 goals
13/04/2026 CD Union La Calera 1 - 0 CD Concepcion

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

CD Concepcion

Nicolás Araya Bruna 1440' 0 G 0 A
Ariel Cáceres 1391' 2 G 0 A
Fausto Grillo 1355' 1 G 0 A
Jorge Henríquez 1316' 3 G 3 A
Mario Sandoval 1110' 2 G 0 A

CD Union La Calera

Cristopher Diaz 1900' 1 G 3 A
Daniel Gutiérrez 1615' 0 G 1 A
Cristián Gutiérrez 1279' 0 G 0 A
Nicolás Palma 1115' 0 G 0 A

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P GD Pts
5 CD Palestino 23 3 36
6 Club Deportes Limache 23 8 33
7 Deportivo Nublense SADP 23 -3 32
8 CD Concepcion 23 -1 31
9 CD Huachipato 23 -6 31
10 CD La Serena 24 -5 30
11 CD Coquimbo Unido 22 0 29
12 Audax Italiano La Florida SADP 23 -5 28
13 CD OHiggins 24 -10 27
14 CD Union La Calera 23 -12 23
15 CD Universidad de Concepcion 24 -22 23
16 CD Cobresal 24 -15 22

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera kick off?

CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera is a Primera Division match at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 17:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera?

Bookmaker odds make CD Concepcion the favourite with a 47% implied chance to win, against 26% for CD Union La Calera and 28% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera?

Over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.39 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in CD Concepcion vs CD Union La Calera?

About 10.9 corner kicks are expected. About 5.2 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between CD Concepcion and CD Union La Calera?

In 1 meetings, CD Concepcion won 0, CD Union La Calera won 1 and 0 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of CD Concepcion and CD Union La Calera?

CD Concepcion: W D W L D. CD Union La Calera: L D L L W.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.