Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA is a Categoria Primera A match at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, kicking off at 22:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Millonarios FC SA the favourite with a 53% implied chance to win, against 21% for Once Caldas SA and 26% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 46% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 66%. Recent form: Millonarios FC SA W W D D D, Once Caldas SA W L L D W.

Millonarios FC SA averages 1.93 points per game at home, Once Caldas SA 1.18 away.
Millonarios FC SA scores 42% more goals per match than Once Caldas SA in these venues.
Millonarios FC SA concedes 49% fewer goals per match than Once Caldas SA in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 46% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 66%.
Expect about 11 corner kicks in this match.

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 17:30

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

Millonarios vs Once Caldas • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín • Week 13, 2026

Home edge: Millonarios at home show xG 1.82 and xGA 0.93, underscoring a strong attacking platform and solid defensive baseline.

Once Caldas away: xG for 1.49, xG against 1.41; away win rate only 18%—milestones that tilt the balance toward the home side.

Overall xG in this fixture: around 3.33 per match historically, higher than the season-wide 2.62—more scoring potential than a typical clash.

BTTS landscape: Yes 1.83 / No 1.91; average BTTS across both teams before this match sits at 66%, suggesting a genuine chance both nets.

Corners outlook: market favors a busy game. Over 7.5 corners at 1.25 and Over 8.5 at 1.50 are appealing given the fixture's typical cadence and a high total corners average (~10.96).

Corner leaders: Millonarios to lead corners is priced at 1.46; Once Caldas at 3.75. Expect Millonarios to edge on set pieces, but visitors won’t be entirely passive.

Predictions: Millonarios win with both teams scoring. Likely a 2-1 or 2-2 pace, depending on how quickly Millonarios press in the first half.

Recommended bets:

- Millonarios to win (1.70)

- BTTS Yes (1.83)

- Over 2.5 goals (1.95)

- Over 7.5 corners (1.25)

Double chance insight: Millonarios Win or Draw at 1.17 offers a safer baseline in a home-friendly matchup.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated 11 Oct 2026, 10:10

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Millonarios FC SA

D

@ Fortaleza CEIF FC 1 - 1

D

@ Deportivo Independiente Medellin 2 - 2

D

@ Club Atletico Nacional SA 1 - 1

W

Deportivo Boyaca Chico FC SA 3 - 0

W

@ Corporacion Nuevo Cucuta Deportivo 1 - 2

Once Caldas SA

W

Club Llaneros SA 1 - 0

D

@ CD La Equidad Seguros SA 1 - 1

L

CA Bucaramanga 1 - 3

L

@ AD Pasto 1 - 0

W

Club Deportes Tolima SA 1 - 0

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

Points per game

1.93 1.18

Win %

53% 18%

Goals scored / match

1.67 1.18

Goals conceded / match

0.6 1.18

Total goals / match

2.27 2.36

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

40% 76%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

Over 0.5 goals

87% 94%

Over 1.5 goals

73% 88%

Over 2.5 goals

40% 35%

Over 3.5 goals

13% 18%

Over 4.5 goals

7% 0%

BTTS

40% 76%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

First half points per game

1.8 1.06

Leading at half time %

47% 12%

Drawing at half time %

40% 71%

Trailing at half time %

13% 18%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.8 0.47

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.87 0.71

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

Corners won / match

7.27 4.65

Corners conceded / match

3.4 4.82

Total corners in their matches

10.67 9.47

Over 6.5 corners

93% 76%

Over 7.5 corners

93% 59%

Over 8.5 corners

80% 59%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

Cards / match

3.47 3.24

Over 2.5 cards

93% 100%

Over 3.5 cards

87% 82%

Over 4.5 cards

80% 76%

Over 5.5 cards

80% 71%

Over 6.5 cards

73% 47%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

Shots / match

17.47 13.12

Shots on target / match

6.47 5.06

Shots off target / match

11 8.06

Shot conversion rate

10% 9%

Shots per goal scored

10.48 11.15

Average possession

51% 50%

Offsides and fouls

Millonarios FC SA Once Caldas SA

Offsides / match

1.87 2.41

Over 0.5 offsides

93% 88%

Over 1.5 offsides

73% 76%

Over 2.5 offsides

20% 47%

Fouls / match

11.53 9

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Millonarios FC SA

0-10'

3

1

11-20'

1

21-30'

7

3

31-40'

2

3

41-50'

7

51-60'

13

6

61-70'

3

5

71-80'

4

5

81-90'

10

4

Once Caldas SA

0-10'

9

3

11-20'

4

5

21-30'

0

4

31-40'

4

2

41-50'

8

7

51-60'

1

5

61-70'

7

3

71-80'

5

6

81-90'

11

6

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance

Millonarios FC SA to win 1.70

53%

Draw 3.50

26%

Once Caldas SA to win 4.40

21%

Over 0.5 goals 1.03

94%

Over 1.5 goals 1.29

79%

Over 2.5 goals 1.89

46%

Over 3.5 goals 3.40

24%

Over 4.5 goals 7.50

12%

Both teams to score 1.83

66%

Head to head

35 previous meetings.

Millonarios FC SA 15 Draws 11 9 Once Caldas SA

2.57
Goals / match: 54%
BTTS: 46%
Over 2.5 goals

21/03/2026 Once Caldas SA 1 - 4 Millonarios FC SA

29/10/2025 Millonarios FC SA 0 - 0 Once Caldas SA

11/06/2025 Millonarios FC SA 2 - 2 Once Caldas SA

08/06/2025 Once Caldas SA 0 - 0 Millonarios FC SA

11/05/2025 Once Caldas SA 2 - 2 Millonarios FC SA

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Millonarios FC SA

Goalkeeper

Diego Alejandro Novoa Urrego 1530' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Andrés Llinás Montejo 2004' 3 G 0 A

Sebastián Valencia Isaza 1984' 3 G 5 A

Jorge Arias 1890' 0 G 0 A

Sergio Mosquera 1779' 0 G 1 A

Midfielder

Rodrigo Andrés Ureña Reyes 2509' 2 G 3 A

Mateo García Rojas 2069' 2 G 0 A

David Silva 1085' 2 G 3 A

Stiven Vega Londoño 875' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Leonardo Castro 2213' 11 G 4 A

Rodrigo Contreras 1650' 10 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Leonai0.60

Backham David Castro Espinosa0.59

Rodrigo Andrés Ureña Reyes0.50

Jorge Cabezas0.50

Sebastián Valencia Isaza0.41

David Silva0.41

Once Caldas SA

Goalkeeper

Joan Felipe Parra Marin 2970' 0 G 1 A

Defender

Juan David Cuesta Santos 3051' 0 G 9 A

Jorge Luis Cardona Gutiérrez 2214' 2 G 1 A

Kevin Tamayo Zapata 1633' 0 G 3 A

Juan Felipe Castaño Zuluaga 1518' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Luis Francisco Sánchez Mosquera 2236' 4 G 2 A

Jader Andrés Quiñónez Caicedo 1547' 0 G 1 A

Andrés Felipe Roa Estrada 1317' 2 G 4 A

Robert Andrés Mejía Navarrete 1105' 0 G 1 A

Forward

Dayro Mauricio Moreno Galindo 2254' 15 G 1 A

Jefry Arley Zapata Ramírez 2112' 12 G 2 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Mateo Zuleta García0.82

Esteban Beltrán0.75

Jader Andrés Quiñónez Caicedo0.52

Robert Andrés Mejía Navarrete0.49

Juan Felipe Castaño Zuluaga0.47

Jaime Alvarado Hoyos0.43

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club Atletico Nacional SA	36	25	3	8	70	31	39	78
2	Sociedad Anonima Deportiva America SA	33	18	7	8	50	27	23	61
3	Independiente Santa Fe SA	35	14	15	6	54	36	18	57
4	Club Deportes Tolima SA	36	15	12	9	46	34	12	57
5	CD Popular Junior FC SA	37	15	9	13	56	50	6	54
6	Asociacion Deportivo Cali	32	14	10	8	40	25	15	52
7	Once Caldas SA	34	12	14	8	49	41	8	50
8	Millonarios FC SA	33	12	12	9	50	35	15	48
9	CA Bucaramanga	30	11	13	6	46	30	16	46
10	Deportivo Independiente Medellin	31	13	7	11	45	40	5	46
11	AD Pasto	33	12	7	14	38	46	-8	43
12	CD La Equidad Seguros SA	35	9	15	11	44	55	-11	42
13	Rionegro Aguilas SA	31	10	11	10	36	42	-6	41
14	Club Llaneros SA	32	8	12	12	32	37	-5	36
15	Fortaleza CEIF FC	32	6	15	11	36	46	-10	33
16	Corporacion Nuevo Cucuta Deportivo	31	7	10	14	37	54	-17	31
17	Deportivo Boyaca Chico FC SA	30	8	5	17	25	50	-25	29
18	Alianza Petrolera FC	32	6	11	15	27	53	-26	29
19	Jaguares de Cordoba FC	30	6	7	17	31	53	-22	25
20	CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira	31	2	13	16	22	49	-27	19

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA kick off?

Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA is a Categoria Primera A match at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, kicking off at 22:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA?

Bookmaker odds make Millonarios FC SA the favourite with a 53% implied chance to win, against 21% for Once Caldas SA and 26% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA?

Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.62 goals.

Will both teams score in Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Millonarios FC SA vs Once Caldas SA?

About 11 corner kicks are expected. About 6.1 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between Millonarios FC SA and Once Caldas SA?

In 35 meetings, Millonarios FC SA won 15, Once Caldas SA won 9 and 11 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of Millonarios FC SA and Once Caldas SA?

Millonarios FC SA: W W D D D. Once Caldas SA: W L L D W.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.