Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC is a Serie B match at Estádio Santa Cruz on Monday, 12 October 2026, kicking off at 21:00 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto the favourite with a 46% implied chance to win, against 26% for Ceara SC and 28% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 44% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 63%. Recent form: Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto L D W L W, Ceara SC D W D W W.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto averages 1.31 points per game at home, Ceara SC 0.94 away.
Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto scores 66% more goals per match than Ceara SC in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 44% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 63%.
Expect about 12.6 corner kicks in this match.

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 19:15

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

Estádio Santa Cruz recebe a 33ª rodada de 2026 entre Botafogo SP e Ceará. Favorecido pelo mando, o Botafogo SP aparece com odds de 1.98 e leva o peso da casa frente a um Ceará que tem desempenho mais contido fora de casa (apenas 19% de vitórias).

Resultado provável: vitória do Botafogo SP. O DUO de Double Chance favorece Botafogo SP Win or Draw em 1.25, refletindo a força de casa e o peso do favorito.

Gols e tempo: Under 2.5 gols em 1.57 é o viés mais sólido, apoiado pela média histórica de sub-2.5 (57%) entre as equipes. xG antecipado: Botafogo SP 1.52; Ceará 1.38; total esperado próximo de 2.90.

BTTS: Yes em 2.00 sugere que pode haver gols de ambos os lados, mas com o primeiro tempo historicamente fraco (BTTS 1º tempo médio 16%).

Cantos: o jogo tende a ser movimentado de bolas paradas. Linhas altas de cantos, Over 7.5 em 1.12 e a estatística de média de cantos por jogo sendo 12.56 ajudam a compor uma aposta de cantos. Botafogo SP tem maior probabilidade de fechar com mais cantos no jogo (linha 1.69).

Contexto técnico: a vantagem de jogar em casa aumenta para o Botafogo SP (valor global de +11 em casa). Ceará acumula xG ofensivo fora de casa de 1.38 e média defensiva de xG de 1.61 contra fora, o que sustenta uma abordagem mais contida do Botafogo SP.

Resumo rápido de aposta: Botafogo SP vence, Under 2.5 gols, com a linha de cantos rendendo uma opção adicional (Over 7.5). Palpite de placar provável: 1-0.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated 11 Oct 2026, 10:10

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto

W

@ Operario Ferroviario EC 1 - 2

L

Vila Nova FC 0 - 1

W

Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta 2 - 0

D

@ Athletic Club Minas Gerais 1 - 1

L

Goias EC 1 - 3

Ceara SC

W

Criciuma EC 1 - 0

W

@ Avai FC 0 - 1

D

@ Operario Ferroviario EC 2 - 2

W

Gremio Novorizontino 2 - 1

D

@ Fortaleza EC 1 - 1

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

Points per game

1.31 0.94

Win %

38% 19%

Goals scored / match

1.56 0.94

Goals conceded / match

1.38 1.38

Total goals / match

2.94 2.32

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

75% 50%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

Over 0.5 goals

100% 94%

Over 1.5 goals

88% 81%

Over 2.5 goals

63% 25%

Over 3.5 goals

31% 13%

Over 4.5 goals

6% 6%

BTTS

75% 50%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

First half points per game

1.5 0.44

Leading at half time %

38% 0%

Drawing at half time %

38% 44%

Trailing at half time %

25% 56%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.81 0.13

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.75 0.81

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

Corners won / match

7.06 5.5

Corners conceded / match

4.81 5.81

Total corners in their matches

11.87 11.31

Over 6.5 corners

94% 88%

Over 7.5 corners

88% 75%

Over 8.5 corners

69% 75%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

Cards / match

2.13 2.25

Over 2.5 cards

94% 81%

Over 3.5 cards

69% 69%

Over 4.5 cards

44% 56%

Over 5.5 cards

31% 38%

Over 6.5 cards

19% 6%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

Shots / match

13.81 12.69

Shots on target / match

4.38 3.75

Shots off target / match

9.44 8.94

Shot conversion rate

11% 7%

Shots per goal scored

8.84 13.53

Average possession

52% 49%

Offsides and fouls

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto Ceara SC

Offsides / match

2.13 1.25

Over 0.5 offsides

75% 81%

Over 1.5 offsides

56% 25%

Over 2.5 offsides

50% 13%

Fouls / match

15.19 13.94

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto

0-10'

3

4

11-20'

2

1

21-30'

4

5

31-40'

5

1

41-50'

6

5

51-60'

5

8

61-70'

3

6

71-80'

6

4

81-90'

2

4

Ceara SC

0-10'

1

4

11-20'

2

4

21-30'

1

6

31-40'

3

1

41-50'

7

4

51-60'

1

9

61-70'

6

3

71-80'

7

4

81-90'

7

4

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto to win 1.91

46%

Draw 3.10

28%

Ceara SC to win 3.30

26%

Over 0.5 goals 1.07

97%

Over 1.5 goals 1.42

85%

Over 2.5 goals 2.38

44%

Over 3.5 goals 4.50

22%

Over 4.5 goals 9.00

6%

Both teams to score 2.00

63%

Head to head

5 previous meetings.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto 1 Draws 1 3 Ceara SC

3.6
Goals / match: 60%
BTTS: 80%
Over 2.5 goals

20/06/2026 Ceara SC 0 - 1 Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto

12/11/2024 Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto 1 - 4 Ceara SC

25/07/2024 Ceara SC 4 - 1 Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto

04/11/2023 Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto 2 - 2 Ceara SC

07/07/2023 Ceara SC 3 - 0 Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto

Goalkeeper

Victor Bernardes Andrade E Souza 2430' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Gustavo Vilar dos Santos 2775' 3 G 0 A

Patrick de Carvalho Brey 2501' 5 G 5 A

Gabriel de Souza Inocencio 1667' 0 G 0 A

Ericson da Silva 1492' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Everton Morelli Casemiro 2582' 9 G 3 A

Rafael Gustavo Meneghel Gava 2170' 3 G 8 A

Matheus de Sales Cabral 1628' 0 G 0 A

Leandro Isaac Maciel 1122' 0 G 0 A

Forward

José Hugo Sousa dos Santos 2014' 2 G 3 A

Hygor Cleber Garcia Silva 1762' 7 G 0 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Felipe Vieira Augusto1.33

Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição0.75

Leandro Isaac Maciel0.72

Thiago de Oliveira Silva0.65

Luiz Guilherme Vieira da Silva0.53

Matheus de Sales Cabral0.39

Ceara SC

Goalkeeper

Richard de Oliveira Costa 2296' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Luiz Otavio da Silva Santos 2315' 3 G 0 A

Julio Cesar Alves Gonçalves 2062' 2 G 1 A

Eder Ferreira Graminho 1800' 0 G 0 A

Sanchez José Vale Costa 1407' 1 G 0 A

Midfielder

Melquisedeque Costa de Oliveira 2058' 8 G 5 A

João Batista 1961' 2 G 0 A

Matheus Araújo 1275' 3 G 2 A

Lucas Eduardo Lima da Silva 1102' 4 G 3 A

Forward

Lucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares 1162' 1 G 2 A

Pedro Henrique 988' 2 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Lucas Eduardo Lima da Silva0.49

Lucas Andrés Mugni0.45

Matheus Araújo0.42

Richardson Fernandes dos Santos0.42

Fernando José Marques Maciel0.42

Eder Ferreira Graminho0.35

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	EC Juventude	32	17	8	7	37	19	18	59
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44	31	13	58
3	Gremio Novorizontino	32	16	9	7	54	27	27	57
4	Fortaleza EC	32	15	11	6	37	27	10	56
5	Criciuma EC	32	15	8	9	33	28	5	53
6	AC Goianiense	32	14	10	8	40	30	10	52
7	Clube de Regatas Brasil	32	15	6	11	49	45	4	51
8	SC do Recife	32	13	11	8	44	34	10	50
9	Operario Ferroviario EC	32	13	9	10	44	43	1	48
10	Cuiaba EC	32	11	14	7	32	25	7	47
11	Sao Bernardo FC	32	12	9	11	44	34	10	45
12	Goias EC	32	13	6	13	32	40	-8	45
13	Athletic Club Minas Gerais	32	10	12	10	38	37	1	42
14	Clube Nautico Capibaribe	32	11	9	12	39	40	-1	42
15	Ceara SC	32	11	9	12	35	39	-4	42
16	Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto	32	10	8	14	36	38	-2	38
17	Avai FC	32	9	6	17	32	43	-11	33
18	Londrina EC	32	7	7	18	40	47	-7	28
19	America FC Minas Gerais	32	4	5	23	21	53	-32	17
20	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17	68	-51	13

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC kick off?

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC is a Serie B match at Estádio Santa Cruz on Monday, 12 October 2026, kicking off at 21:00 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC?

Bookmaker odds make Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto the favourite with a 46% implied chance to win, against 26% for Ceara SC and 28% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC?

Over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.63 goals.

Will both teams score in Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto vs Ceara SC?

About 12.6 corner kicks are expected. About 4.4 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto and Ceara SC?

In 5 meetings, Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto won 1, Ceara SC won 3 and 1 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto and Ceara SC?

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto: L D W L W. Ceara SC: D W D W W.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.