AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife: prediction, stats and odds

Brazil - Serie B · Matchweek 33

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Atlético GO

#6

W L W W L

16:10

Starts in 5h

Sport Recife

#8

L W L W W

1 · 59%

1.51

X · 23%

3.50

2 · 18%

4.20

Ask VJ about this match

Estádio Antônio Accioly · Referee: to be announced

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife is a Serie B match at Estádio Antônio Accioly on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 16:10 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make AC Goianiense the favourite with a 56% implied chance to win, against 20% for SC do Recife and 24% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 53% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 54%. Recent form: AC Goianiense W L W W L, SC do Recife L W L W W.

  • AC Goianiense averages 1.94 points per game at home, SC do Recife 1.19 away.
  • AC Goianiense scores 63% more goals per match than SC do Recife in these venues.
  • AC Goianiense concedes 28% fewer goals per match than SC do Recife in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 53% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 54%.
  • Expect about 11.2 corner kicks in this match.

Updated

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

Estádio Antônio Accioly hosts Week 33 as Atlético GO welcome Sport Recife in a game thatweights the balance toward the home side. The market pins Atlético GO at 1.70, a reflection of their 56% home-win rate and a clear home-edge in attack.

Home advantage: Atlético GO enjoy a strong home profile with +30 in attack, +14 in defence and an overall edge of +22 when playing at home.

XG and scoring: Atlético GO 1.75 xG, Sport Recife 1.31 xG; combined xG around 3.06 suggests a tight, mid-range scoring game with a realistic chance of 2 goals for the home side.

BTTS and scoring trend: BTTS is a common outcome in similar fixtures (around 54% historically), so both teams finding the net is plausible here.

Corners and set pieces: the matchup tends to produce a busy corridor of corners. Atlético GO has shown a tendency to lead on corners, with total corners often around the 11 mark. Over 9.5 corners around 1.58 looks a solid target.

Under/Over context: historical tendency leans under 4.5 goals (about 97%), while Over 2.5 sits near half-time expectations (1.86), implying a game that could settle around 2 goals on the night.

Prediction and picks: leaning Atlético GO to win (roughly 2-1), with a safe alternative Double Chance Atlético GO Win or Draw. If you’re aiming for a mid-risk bet, BTTS Yes alongside Over 2.5 goals offers a reasonable payout given the xG and BTTS context.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
Points per game
1.94 1.19
Win %
56% 31%
Goals scored / match
1.63 1
Goals conceded / match
0.81 1.13
Total goals / match
2.44 2.13
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
44% 63%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
Over 0.5 goals
88% 81%
Over 1.5 goals
75% 63%
Over 2.5 goals
50% 56%
Over 3.5 goals
19% 13%
Over 4.5 goals
6% 0%
BTTS
44% 63%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
First half points per game
2.13 1.13
Leading at half time %
63% 25%
Drawing at half time %
25% 38%
Trailing at half time %
13% 38%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.94 0.38
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
0.69 0.63

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
Corners won / match
6.69 4.56
Corners conceded / match
3.69 6.94
Total corners in their matches
10.38 11.5
Over 6.5 corners
88% 88%
Over 7.5 corners
81% 88%
Over 8.5 corners
63% 75%

Cards

Bookings per match.

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
Cards / match
2.5 2.19
Over 2.5 cards
81% 75%
Over 3.5 cards
69% 56%
Over 4.5 cards
63% 50%
Over 5.5 cards
63% 25%
Over 6.5 cards
38% 13%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
Shots / match
16.06 13.31
Shots on target / match
5.5 3.31
Shots off target / match
10.56 10
Shot conversion rate
10% 8%
Shots per goal scored
9.88 13.31
Average possession
50% 54%

Offsides and fouls

AC Goianiense SC do Recife
Offsides / match
1.36 1.19
Over 0.5 offsides
86% 56%
Over 1.5 offsides
28% 31%
Over 2.5 offsides
14% 13%
Fouls / match
15.63 11.06

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

AC Goianiense

0-10'
4
4
11-20'
4
0
21-30'
5
2
31-40'
4
5
41-50'
4
4
51-60'
4
2
61-70'
4
5
71-80'
4
3
81-90'
7
5

SC do Recife

0-10'
1
1
11-20'
5
2
21-30'
4
7
31-40'
3
2
41-50'
7
5
51-60'
5
2
61-70'
4
1
71-80'
3
6
81-90'
12
8

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
AC Goianiense to win 1.51
56%
Draw 3.50
24%
SC do Recife to win 4.20
20%
Over 0.5 goals 1.03
85%
Over 1.5 goals 1.31
69%
Over 2.5 goals 1.92
53%
Over 3.5 goals 3.25
16%
Over 4.5 goals 7.00
3%
Both teams to score 1.78
54%

Head to head

13 previous meetings.

AC Goianiense 4 Draws 6 3 SC do Recife
2.23
Goals / match
54%
BTTS
31%
Over 2.5 goals
18/06/2026 SC do Recife 1 - 1 AC Goianiense
10/11/2023 SC do Recife 0 - 0 AC Goianiense
14/07/2023 AC Goianiense 3 - 1 SC do Recife
31/10/2021 SC do Recife 2 - 0 AC Goianiense
07/07/2021 AC Goianiense 1 - 1 SC do Recife

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P GD Pts
3 Gremio Novorizontino 32 27 57
4 Fortaleza EC 32 10 56
5 Criciuma EC 32 5 53
6 AC Goianiense 32 10 52
7 Clube de Regatas Brasil 32 4 51
8 SC do Recife 32 10 50
9 Operario Ferroviario EC 32 1 48
10 Cuiaba EC 32 7 47
11 Sao Bernardo FC 32 10 45

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife kick off?

AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife is a Serie B match at Estádio Antônio Accioly on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 16:10 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife?

Bookmaker odds make AC Goianiense the favourite with a 56% implied chance to win, against 20% for SC do Recife and 24% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife?

Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.29 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in AC Goianiense vs SC do Recife?

About 11.2 corner kicks are expected. About 4.7 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between AC Goianiense and SC do Recife?

In 13 meetings, AC Goianiense won 4, SC do Recife won 3 and 6 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of AC Goianiense and SC do Recife?

AC Goianiense: W L W W L. SC do Recife: L W L W W.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.