Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC is a Serie B match on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, kicking off at 19:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Athletic Club Minas Gerais the favourite with a 43% implied chance to win, against 27% for Londrina EC and 29% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 50% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 57%. Recent form: Athletic Club Minas Gerais W D D L L, Londrina EC W L L L L.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais averages 1.44 points per game at home, Londrina EC 0.69 away.
Athletic Club Minas Gerais scores 12% more goals per match than Londrina EC in these venues.
Athletic Club Minas Gerais concedes 41% fewer goals per match than Londrina EC in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 50% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 57%.
Expect about 10.2 corner kicks in this match.

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 17:30

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

Athletic Club vs Londrina opens Week 33 with home advantage and a backdrop of disciplined edges. The numbers sketch a tight, goal-conscious contest, where the hosts sit as the more reliable bet to claim at least a result.

Main bet: Athletic Club W/D at 1.26. The home xG edge (1.57 for, 1.42 against) plus Londrina’s away struggles (only 19% win rate away) tilt the balance in favour of the home side to avoid defeat or win.

Goal expectations: Over 2.5 goals at 2.29 suggests a feasible multi-goal outcome, supported by the teams’ combined xG around 2.89 in recent head-to-head frames. However, the market strongs a safe under 4.5 goals at 1.02, reflecting a historical lean to low-scoring matches (91% under 4.5).

BTTS angle: Yes at 1.92 aligns with a 57% average BTTS across similar clashes, though first-half BTTS (22%) is notably lower than the full-game signal. Expect a late or second-half goal swing to BTTS coming into play.

Corners and pace: The match features a high corner flow, with average corners around 10.19 between these sides. Over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.12, and Over 9.5 at 1.64; Athletic Club is favored to lead on corners (1.70) while Londrina sit at 2.42 for the most in-match corners.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated 11 Oct 2026, 10:10

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais

@ Goias EC 2 - 1

SC do Recife 1 - 2

@ Fortaleza EC 2 - 2

Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto 1 - 1

W

@ EC Juventude 0 - 2

Londrina EC

@ Avai FC 2 - 1

Criciuma EC 0 - 2

@ Vila Nova FC 2 - 0

Fortaleza EC 1 - 2

Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta 6 - 0

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

Points per game

1.44 0.69

Win %

38% 19%

Goals scored / match

1.19 1.06

Goals conceded / match

1 1.69

Total goals / match

2.19 2.75

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

50% 63%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

Over 0.5 goals

94% 100%

Over 1.5 goals

69% 81%

Over 2.5 goals

31% 69%

Over 3.5 goals

13% 19%

Over 4.5 goals

13% 6%

BTTS

50% 63%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

First half points per game

1.38 0.56

Leading at half time %

31% 13%

Drawing at half time %

44% 19%

Trailing at half time %

25% 69%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.69 0.38

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.5 0.69

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

Corners won / match

5.31 4.88

Corners conceded / match

5.06 6.5

Total corners in their matches

10.37 11.38

Over 6.5 corners

88% 88%

Over 7.5 corners

81% 88%

Over 8.5 corners

75% 88%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

Cards / match

2.44 2.38

Over 2.5 cards

88% 81%

Over 3.5 cards

75% 56%

Over 4.5 cards

56% 44%

Over 5.5 cards

19% 44%

Over 6.5 cards

19% 25%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

Shots / match

14.88 12.5

Shots on target / match

4.38 3.63

Shots off target / match

10.5 8.88

Shot conversion rate

8% 9%

Shots per goal scored

12.53 11.76

Average possession

48% 46%

Offsides and fouls

Athletic Club Minas Gerais Londrina EC

Offsides / match

1.75 1.5

Over 0.5 offsides

88% 81%

Over 1.5 offsides

38% 44%

Over 2.5 offsides

31% 25%

Fouls / match

14.81 13.25

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Athletic Club Minas Gerais

0-10'

5

1

11-20'

1

2

21-30'

4

31-40'

3

41-50'

5

6

51-60'

4

5

61-70'

8

6

71-80'

2

81-90'

6

8

Londrina EC

0-10'

3

5

11-20'

2

3

21-30'

4

3

31-40'

3

7

41-50'

7

9

51-60'

4

61-70'

2

5

71-80'

4

3

81-90'

11

8

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance

Athletic Club Minas Gerais to win 2.05

43%

Draw 3.01

29%

Londrina EC to win 3.25

27%

Over 0.5 goals 1.03

97%

Over 1.5 goals 1.35

75%

Over 2.5 goals 2.25

50%

Over 3.5 goals 3.95

16%

Over 4.5 goals 7.90

10%

Both teams to score 1.92

57%

Head to head

4 previous meetings.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais 3 Draws 0 1 Londrina EC

3.25
Goals / match: 75%
BTTS: 75%
Over 2.5 goals

20/06/2026 Londrina EC 2 - 0 Athletic Club Minas Gerais

05/10/2024 Athletic Club Minas Gerais 2 - 1 Londrina EC

02/09/2024 Londrina EC 2 - 3 Athletic Club Minas Gerais

13/07/2024 Athletic Club Minas Gerais 2 - 1 Londrina EC

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Athletic Club Minas Gerais

Goalkeeper

Luan Polli Gomes 2790' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Lucas Belezi Barbosa 2517' 1 G 2 A

Jhonatan Paulo da Silva 2316' 0 G 0 A

Diogo Batista de Souza 1716' 1 G 2 A

Jose Carlos Cracco Neto 1420' 0 G 2 A

Midfielder

Kauan Rodrigues da Silva 2430' 3 G 3 A

João Miguel da Costa Pereira 2343' 1 G 0 A

João Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes 1368' 1 G 3 A

Ian Luccas Baroni Boetto 1320' 4 G 2 A

Forward

Maswel Ananias Silva 1709' 2 G 4 A

Dixon Vera 1035' 4 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Otávio Bruno dos Santos0.63

Wilinton Aponzá0.60

Ruan Lucas de Assis0.57

Ian Luccas Baroni Boetto0.55

Dixon Vera0.52

Diogo Batista de Souza0.47

Londrina EC

Goalkeeper

Mauricio Kozlinski 2520' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda 1945' 1 G 0 A

Yago Lincoln Rocha Santos 1844' 1 G 0 A

Heron Crespo da Silva 1799' 0 G 2 A

Kauê Leonardo de Souza Prado 1478' 0 G 2 A

Midfielder

Lucas Marques de Oliveira 1639' 2 G 2 A

André Luiz Guimarães Siqueira Junior 1343' 2 G 0 A

João Vitor Tavares da Mota 1240' 1 G 1 A

João Vitor de Souza Martins 1233' 3 G 5 A

Forward

Bruno Santos de Oliveira 1394' 11 G 3 A

Victor Hugo de Faria Mota 1349' 1 G 4 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Iago Teles da Silva0.61

Gilberto Oliveira Souza Junior0.56

Kevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa0.53

Caio César Rodrigues Souza0.50

André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da Silva0.47

Thalis Henrique Cantanhede0.43

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	EC Juventude	32	17	8	7	37	19	18	59
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44	31	13	58
3	Gremio Novorizontino	32	16	9	7	54	27	27	57
4	Fortaleza EC	32	15	11	6	37	27	10	56
5	Criciuma EC	32	15	8	9	33	28	5	53
6	AC Goianiense	32	14	10	8	40	30	10	52
7	Clube de Regatas Brasil	32	15	6	11	49	45	4	51
8	SC do Recife	32	13	11	8	44	34	10	50
9	Operario Ferroviario EC	32	13	9	10	44	43	1	48
10	Cuiaba EC	32	11	14	7	32	25	7	47
11	Sao Bernardo FC	32	12	9	11	44	34	10	45
12	Goias EC	32	13	6	13	32	40	-8	45
13	Athletic Club Minas Gerais	32	10	12	10	38	37	1	42
14	Clube Nautico Capibaribe	32	11	9	12	39	40	-1	42
15	Ceara SC	32	11	9	12	35	39	-4	42
16	Botafogo FC Ribeirao Preto	32	10	8	14	36	38	-2	38
17	Avai FC	32	9	6	17	32	43	-11	33
18	Londrina EC	32	7	7	18	40	47	-7	28
19	America FC Minas Gerais	32	4	5	23	21	53	-32	17
20	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17	68	-51	13

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC kick off?

Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC is a Serie B match on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, kicking off at 19:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC?

Bookmaker odds make Athletic Club Minas Gerais the favourite with a 43% implied chance to win, against 27% for Londrina EC and 29% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC?

Over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.47 goals.

Will both teams score in Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Athletic Club Minas Gerais vs Londrina EC?

About 10.2 corner kicks are expected. About 4.8 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club Minas Gerais and Londrina EC?

In 4 meetings, Athletic Club Minas Gerais won 3, Londrina EC won 1 and 0 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of Athletic Club Minas Gerais and Londrina EC?

Athletic Club Minas Gerais: W D D L L. Londrina EC: W L L L L.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.