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CA Mineiro 2 - 1 Santos FC Sao Paulo: match stats and result

Brazil - Serie A · Matchweek 30

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Atlético Mineiro

#7

W W D W D

2 - 1

Full time · HT 0 - 0

Santos

#8

W L W W D

1 · 45%

2.10

X · 26%

3.50

2 · 29%

3.20

Ask VJ about this match

Arena MRV · Referee: not available

Match summary

How the match went.

Key events

  1. 8'

    Luan Peres

    Substitution · out: Willian Arão

  2. Alan Steven Franco Palma

    Yellow card

    45+2'
  3. 45+4'

    Lucas Verissimo

    Yellow card

  4. Alan Minda

    Substitution · out: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva

    46'
  5. 46'

    Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa

    Substitution · out: Benjamín Rollheiser

  6. Thiago Nicolás Borbas Silva

    Yellow card

    66'
  7. 66'

    Luan Peres

    Yellow card

  8. Maycon

    Substitution · out: Kevin Duvan Castaño Gil

    69'

  9. Mamady Cissé

    Substitution · out: Alan Steven Franco Palma

    69'

  10. Igor Gomes

    Yellow card

    70'

  11. Ángelo Preciado

    Substitution · out: Natanael Moreira Milouski

    70'
  12. 72'

    João Felipe Schmidt Urbano

    Substitution · out: Gustavo Henrique Pereira

  13. 72'

    Philippe Coutinho

    Substitution · out: Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo

  14. Dudu

    Substitution · out: Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa

    82'
  15. 85'

    João Felipe Schmidt Urbano

    Yellow card

  16. 85'

    Álvaro Barreal

    Substitution · out: Everton Sousa Soares

  17. 88'

    Gabriel Barbosa Almeida

    Goal · assist: Philippe Coutinho

  18. 89'

    Gabriel Barbosa Almeida

    Yellow card

  19. Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza

    Goal · assist: Maycon

    90+1'

  20. Thiago Nicolás Borbas Silva

    Goal · assist: Alan Minda

    90+7'

Match stats

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Possession
50% 50%
Shots
21 10
Shots on target
5 3
Corners
12 3
Yellow cards
3 4
Expected goals (xG)
2.04 1.1

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

CA Mineiro 2 - 1 Santos FC Sao Paulo in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Recent form: CA Mineiro W W D W D, Santos FC Sao Paulo W L W W D.

  • CA Mineiro averages 2.07 points per game at home, Santos FC Sao Paulo 1.36 away.
  • CA Mineiro scores 4% more goals per match than Santos FC Sao Paulo in these venues.
  • CA Mineiro concedes 30% fewer goals per match than Santos FC Sao Paulo in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 68% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 72%.
  • Expect about 9.6 corner kicks in this match.

Updated

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

In Arena MRV, Atlético Mineiro host Santos with the home advantage that has carried a 57% win rate this season. The visitors travel with a 36% away-win profile, so the onus is on the home side to assert control from the first whistle.

Home xG for Atlético Mineiro: 1.68 vs Santos away xG: 1.34 — a clear scoring edge for the hosts.

Average xG in head-to-heads: 3.02 per game, suggesting a match with goals rather than a sterile struggle.

BTTS average across such meetings: 72% — this fixture looks biased towards both sides finding the net (BTTS Yes at 1.75).

Over 1.5 goals is historically high (83%), while the market sinks it to 1.29 — value on the over is evident here.

Over 2.5 goals also sits in a solid zone (68% average), with a current price of 1.92 offering reasonable payoff if both sides contribute.

Corners: Atlético Mineiro is tipped to have the most corners (1.53), though Santos aren’t far off (2.88).

Double Chance: Atlético Mineiro Win or Draw at 1.30 looks the safer play given the home edge; Santos Win or Draw at 1.75 provides a bit more risk-reward for the visitors.

Prediction: Atlético Mineiro win, likely 2-1. The hosts’ 1.68 xG and strong home metrics point to control, while Santos’ away xG of 1.34 suggests they’ll contribute to the scoreboard but may fall short of a full comeback.

Key betting angles:

- Buy into Atlético Mineiro to win (2.00) or the safer double chance (1.30).

- BTTS Yes (1.75) and Over 2.5 goals (1.92) offer complementary paths to profit.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Points per game
2.07 1.36
Win %
57% 36%
Goals scored / match
1.71 1.64
Goals conceded / match
1.14 1.64
Total goals / match
2.85 3.28
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
64% 79%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Over 0.5 goals
100% 93%
Over 1.5 goals
79% 86%
Over 2.5 goals
57% 79%
Over 3.5 goals
36% 43%
Over 4.5 goals
7% 21%
BTTS
64% 79%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
First half points per game
1.86 1.43
Leading at half time %
50% 29%
Drawing at half time %
36% 57%
Trailing at half time %
14% 14%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.71 0.79
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
1 0.86

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Corners won / match
5.43 4.14
Corners conceded / match
5.36 6.29
Total corners in their matches
10.79 10.43
Over 6.5 corners
93% 86%
Over 7.5 corners
86% 86%
Over 8.5 corners
86% 79%

Cards

Bookings per match.

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Cards / match
1.14 2.57
Over 2.5 cards
50% 71%
Over 3.5 cards
21% 71%
Over 4.5 cards
14% 43%
Over 5.5 cards
7% 43%
Over 6.5 cards
0% 21%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Shots / match
15.29 12.64
Shots on target / match
5.57 4
Shots off target / match
9.71 8.64
Shot conversion rate
11% 13%
Shots per goal scored
8.92 7.7
Average possession
49% 46%

Offsides and fouls

CA Mineiro Santos FC Sao Paulo
Offsides / match
2.36 1.93
Over 0.5 offsides
93% 79%
Over 1.5 offsides
86% 50%
Over 2.5 offsides
43% 36%
Fouls / match
10.79 11.93

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

CA Mineiro

0-10'
2
4
11-20'
4
1
21-30'
6
2
31-40'
5
3
41-50'
2
3
51-60'
2
3
61-70'
9
5
71-80'
4
2
81-90'
5
11

Santos FC Sao Paulo

0-10'
2
2
11-20'
2
4
21-30'
6
3
31-40'
7
4
41-50'
5
6
51-60'
7
3
61-70'
5
5
71-80'
4
6
81-90'
7
10

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
CA Mineiro to win 2.10
44%
Draw 3.50
27%
Santos FC Sao Paulo to win 3.20
29%
Over 0.5 goals 1.00
97%
Over 1.5 goals 1.22
83%
Over 2.5 goals 1.80
68%
Over 3.5 goals 3.00
40%
Over 4.5 goals 6.12
14%
Both teams to score 1.63
72%

Head to head

29 previous meetings.

CA Mineiro 12 Draws 5 12 Santos FC Sao Paulo
2.76
Goals / match
52%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5 goals
16/09/2026 CA Mineiro 4 - 2 Santos FC Sao Paulo
09/09/2026 Santos FC Sao Paulo 2 - 0 CA Mineiro
11/04/2026 Santos FC Sao Paulo 1 - 0 CA Mineiro
14/09/2025 CA Mineiro 1 - 1 Santos FC Sao Paulo
16/04/2025 Santos FC Sao Paulo 2 - 0 CA Mineiro

Players

Confirmed starting lineups.

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P GD Pts
4 CA Paranaense 29 11 50
5 Cruzeiro EC 29 4 48
6 EC Bahia 29 7 46
7 CA Mineiro 29 5 44
8 Santos FC Sao Paulo 29 2 42
9 Sao Paulo FC 30 0 39
10 Coritiba FBC 29 -10 38
11 Clube Atletico Bragantino 29 1 37

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

What was the result of CA Mineiro vs Santos FC Sao Paulo?

CA Mineiro 2 - 1 Santos FC Sao Paulo. Half time: 0 - 0.

How many goals are expected in CA Mineiro vs Santos FC Sao Paulo?

Over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance. Matches of these teams average 3.08 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Mineiro vs Santos FC Sao Paulo?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in CA Mineiro vs Santos FC Sao Paulo?

About 9.6 corner kicks are expected. About 3.7 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between CA Mineiro and Santos FC Sao Paulo?

In 29 meetings, CA Mineiro won 12, Santos FC Sao Paulo won 12 and 5 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of CA Mineiro and Santos FC Sao Paulo?

CA Mineiro: W W D W D. Santos FC Sao Paulo: W L W W D.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.