Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama is a Serie A match on Saturday, 17 October 2026, kicking off at 21:00 (America/Sao_Paulo). Over 2.5 goals is expected in 52% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 66%. Recent form: Sao Paulo FC D W L L W, CR Vasco da Gama W W W W D.

Sao Paulo FC averages 2 points per game at home, CR Vasco da Gama 0.79 away.
Sao Paulo FC scores 50% more goals per match than CR Vasco da Gama in these venues.
Sao Paulo FC concedes 49% fewer goals per match than CR Vasco da Gama in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 52% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 66%.
Expect about 13.5 corner kicks in this match.

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 17:30

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Sao Paulo FC

W

EC Vitoria 2 - 1

L

@ Cruzeiro EC 2 - 0

L

Santos FC Sao Paulo 1 - 2

W

SC Internacional 1 - 0

D

CA Boca Juniors 1 - 1

CR Vasco da Gama

Clube do Remo 0 - 0

@ Botafogo FR 1 - 2

Coritiba FBC 5 - 0

Independiente Santa Fe SA 2 - 0

W

@ Gremio FB Porto Alegrense 1 - 2

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

Points per game

2 0.79

Win %

60% 14%

Goals scored / match

1.6 1.07

Goals conceded / match

0.87 1.71

Total goals / match

2.47 2.78

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

60% 71%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

Over 0.5 goals

100% 93%

Over 1.5 goals

80% 71%

Over 2.5 goals

47% 57%

Over 3.5 goals

13% 29%

Over 4.5 goals

7% 21%

BTTS

60% 71%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

First half points per game

2 0.93

Leading at half time %

53% 14%

Drawing at half time %

40% 50%

Trailing at half time %

7% 36%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.8 0.29

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.8 0.79

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

Corners won / match

8.2 5.29

Corners conceded / match

3.87 4.43

Total corners in their matches

12.07 9.72

Over 6.5 corners

87% 93%

Over 7.5 corners

80% 71%

Over 8.5 corners

67% 56%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

Cards / match

1.87 2.36

Over 2.5 cards

67% 79%

Over 3.5 cards

53% 50%

Over 4.5 cards

40% 43%

Over 5.5 cards

40% 43%

Over 6.5 cards

33% 21%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

Shots / match

15.53 15.5

Shots on target / match

4.67 4.43

Shots off target / match

10.87 11.07

Shot conversion rate

10% 7%

Shots per goal scored

9.71 14.47

Average possession

53% 51%

Offsides and fouls

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama

Offsides / match

1.38 2.08

Over 0.5 offsides

69% 92%

Over 1.5 offsides

38% 62%

Over 2.5 offsides

15% 31%

Fouls / match

13.27 13.57

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-10'

2

1

11-20'

7

2

21-30'

1

2

31-40'

1

4

41-50'

5

8

51-60'

4

8

61-70'

8

2

71-80'

4

1

81-90'

3

7

CR Vasco da Gama

0-10'

1

4

11-20'

0

21-30'

4

5

31-40'

3

6

41-50'

2

51-60'

8

7

61-70'

3

7

71-80'

6

4

81-90'

9

7

Head to head

23 previous meetings.

Sao Paulo FC 12 Draws 5 6 CR Vasco da Gama

2.83
Goals / match: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Over 2.5 goals

18/04/2026 CR Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Sao Paulo FC

02/11/2025 CR Vasco da Gama 0 - 2 Sao Paulo FC

12/06/2025 Sao Paulo FC 1 - 3 CR Vasco da Gama

16/10/2024 Sao Paulo FC 3 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama

22/06/2024 CR Vasco da Gama 4 - 1 Sao Paulo FC

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Sao Paulo FC

Goalkeeper

Rafael Pires Monteiro 2430' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Nahuel Ferraresi Hernández 1837' 1 G 0 A

José Sabino Chagas Monteiro 1717' 1 G 1 A

Lucas Ramon Batista Silva 1580' 0 G 2 A

Wendell Nascimento Borges 1355' 0 G 3 A

Midfielder

Marcos Antonio 1746' 1 G 2 A

Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo 1706' 1 G 1 A

Damián Bobadilla 1387' 0 G 2 A

Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato 1202' 1 G 0 A

Forward

Jonathan Calleri 1984' 10 G 1 A

Luciano da Rocha Neves 1730' 9 G 2 A

Cards per 90 minutes

André Oliveira Silva0.97

Djhordney Ferreira0.90

Enzo Hernán Díaz0.68

Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira0.64

Nahuel Ferraresi Hernández0.34

Wendell Nascimento Borges0.33

CR Vasco da Gama

Goalkeeper

Léo Jardim 2610' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Robert Renan Alves Barbosa 2520' 1 G 0 A

Paulo Henrique de Oliveira Alves 1447' 0 G 2 A

Carlos Cuesta 1373' 0 G 1 A

Luis Eduardo Soares da Silva 1362' 2 G 3 A

Midfielder

Thiago Mendes 2188' 4 G 1 A

Danilo das Neves Pinheiro 1368' 2 G 0 A

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz 1304' 3 G 0 A

Johan Rojas Echavarría 856' 0 G 1 A

Forward

Andres Gomez 2033' 5 G 3 A

David Correa da Fonseca 1106' 4 G 2 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Victor Luis Chuab Zamblauskas0.55

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz0.41

Andres Gomez0.40

Thiago Mendes0.33

Johan Rojas Echavarría0.32

Paulo Henrique de Oliveira Alves0.31

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	29	18	7	4	57	25	32	61
2	SE Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48	21	27	60
3	Fluminense FC	29	14	9	6	48	36	12	51
4	CA Paranaense	29	14	8	7	45	34	11	50
5	Cruzeiro EC	29	14	6	9	44	40	4	48
6	EC Bahia	29	12	10	7	43	36	7	46
7	CA Mineiro	29	12	8	9	39	34	5	44
8	Santos FC Sao Paulo	29	11	9	9	45	43	2	42
9	Sao Paulo FC	30	11	6	13	35	35	0	39
10	Coritiba FBC	29	10	8	11	37	47	-10	38
11	Clube Atletico Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34	33	1	37
12	EC Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33	44	-11	36
13	Botafogo FR	29	9	8	12	42	47	-5	35
14	CR Vasco da Gama	29	9	8	12	36	42	-6	35
15	Mirassol Futebol Clube	29	8	9	12	34	43	-9	33
16	SC Corinthians Paulista	29	8	8	13	30	34	-4	32
17	SC Internacional	29	7	10	12	32	37	-5	31
18	Gremio FB Porto Alegrense	29	7	9	13	31	39	-8	30
19	Clube do Remo	30	5	10	15	33	48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense AF	28	3	9	16	29	57	-28	18

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama kick off?

Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama is a Serie A match on Saturday, 17 October 2026, kicking off at 21:00 (America/Sao_Paulo).

How many goals are expected in Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.63 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama?

About 13.5 corner kicks are expected. About 4.2 cards are expected.

What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama?

In 23 meetings, Sao Paulo FC won 12, CR Vasco da Gama won 6 and 5 ended in a draw.

What is the recent form of Sao Paulo FC and CR Vasco da Gama?

Sao Paulo FC: D W L L W. CR Vasco da Gama: W W W W D.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.