Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal: prediction, stats and odds
Portugal - Liga NOS · Matchweek 8
Sunday, 11 October 2026
11:30
Starts in 1d
1 · 43%
2.20
X · 28%
3.25
2 · 29%
3.15
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Referee: to be announced
Overview
What the numbers say about this match.
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal is a Liga NOS match at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 11:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Rio Ave FC the favourite with a 42% implied chance to win, against 29% for CD Nacional Funchal and 28% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 50% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 33%. Recent form: Rio Ave FC W L L D L, CD Nacional Funchal L L L L L.
- Rio Ave FC averages 0.33 points per game at home, CD Nacional Funchal 0.33 away.
- Rio Ave FC scores 49% more goals per match than CD Nacional Funchal in these venues.
- CD Nacional Funchal concedes 44% fewer goals per match than Rio Ave FC in these venues.
- Over 2.5 goals is expected in 50% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 33%.
- Expect about 6.3 corner kicks in this match.
Updated
AI Stats Summary
Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional — betting preview for 2026/27, Week 8, Estádio do Rio Ave. A compact home test where control of the midfield and late pressure could decide the margins.
Odds: Rio Ave win 2.24, Draw 3.30, CD Nacional win 3.10. Home side marginally favored by the market.
Goal expectations: Over 0.5 goals 1.00 (history shows a goal in every previous match between these sides). Over 1.5 1.29, Over 2.5 2.10, Over 3.5 3.66. Trend leans to at least a couple of goals, with 2–3 being the most plausible window.
BTTS: Yes 1.80, No 1.88. With a general 33% BTTS rate, this is a tight call; a clean sheet for one side isn’t impossible here.
Key metrics: Rio Ave home xG 1.00; home xGA 1.78. Nacional away xG for 0.77; xGA 2.10; away losses around 67%. A sign Rio Ave can press and control phases, but Nacional countering could sting on the break.
Head-to-head context: average total xG between these sides 1.77; overall match xG around 3.17. Expect a brisk, two-way contest with chances at both ends.
Corners: general trend not dominating; teams average around 6.3 corners per match. Expect a handful of key set-piece moments rather than a flood of corners.
Predictions: Rio Ave FC to win; Over 2.5 goals likely; BTTS No as a lean. Consider a small stake on Rio Ave to edge it with a 2–1 or 2–0 style scoreline.
AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated
Recent form
Last five completed matches before this one.
Team comparison
How both teams have performed this season.
Goals and BTTS
How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.
First and second half
Who starts and who finishes stronger.
Corners
Corner kicks per match.
Cards
Bookings per match.
Shots and possession
How teams create chances.
Offsides and fouls
Goals by minute
When each team scores and concedes this season.
Rio Ave FC
CD Nacional Funchal
Odds
Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.
Head to head
24 previous meetings.
- 2.29
- Goals / match
- 50%
- BTTS
- 42%
- Over 2.5 goals
Players
Players with the most minutes this season, by position.
Rio Ave FC
Goalkeeper
Defender
Midfielder
Forward
Cards per 90 minutes
CD Nacional Funchal
Goalkeeper
Defender
Midfielder
Forward
Cards per 90 minutes
League table
Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Moreirense FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional Funchal | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
Quick answers about this match.
When does Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal kick off?
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal is a Liga NOS match at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 11:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).
Who is favoured to win Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal?
Bookmaker odds make Rio Ave FC the favourite with a 42% implied chance to win, against 29% for CD Nacional Funchal and 28% for a draw.
How many goals are expected in Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal?
Over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance. Matches of these teams average 3.17 goals.
Will both teams score in Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal?
Both teams to score has a 33% chance.
How many corners and cards are expected in Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Funchal?
About 6.3 corner kicks are expected. About 2.3 cards are expected.
What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave FC and CD Nacional Funchal?
In 24 meetings, Rio Ave FC won 9, CD Nacional Funchal won 7 and 8 ended in a draw.
What is the recent form of Rio Ave FC and CD Nacional Funchal?
Rio Ave FC: W L L D L. CD Nacional Funchal: L L L L L.
Glossary
What these terms mean.
- BTTS
- Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
- Clean sheet
- A match where the team does not concede a goal.
- Failed to score
- A match where the team does not score a goal.
- xG
- Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
- xGA
- Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
- Points per game
- Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
- Home / Away
- The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
- Over 2.5 goals
- Three or more goals in the match.