Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC is a NPFL match at Lafia Township Stadium on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 12:00 (America/Sao_Paulo). Over 2.5 goals is expected in 34% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 50%. Recent form: Nasarawa United FC W D L W D, Doma United FC W L D L W.

Nasarawa United FC averages 2.33 points per game at home, Doma United FC 1 away.
Nasarawa United FC concedes 84% fewer goals per match than Doma United FC in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 34% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 50%.
Expect about 10 corner kicks in this match.

Updated 10 Oct 2026, 06:00

AI Stats Summary

Written by AI from the statistics, form and odds of this match.

Match: Nasarawa United vs Doma United, Lafia Township Stadium — 8th gameweek, 2026/27, kickoff October 12

Context: Nasarawa United bring stronger home data and higher xG, while Doma United travel with a tougher away profile. The numbers tilt toward the home side, but the head-to-heads tend to stay tight.

Home edge for Nasarawa United: win rate 80%; home xG 1.67, home xGA 1.11; defence at home +83, overall home advantage +55.

Pre-match form: Nasarawa United 2.33 points per game vs Doma United 1.00; Nasarawa lead in expected goals (xG) at 1.94 per game vs Doma United 1.19.

Away form for Doma United: win rate 25%; away xG 1.03, away xGA 1.29.

Head-to-head indicators: average total xG per match between the teams 3.13; typical outcomes skew under higher thresholds (Under 4.5 goals 84%, Under 3.5 goals 84%, Under 2.5 goals 67%).

Goal timing: second half over 0.5 goals is strong (84%); second half over 1.5 goals at 33% is a quieter higher-gear indicator; first half BTTS around 17%.

Match pace markers: average total goals per match between them around 2.17; corners around 10 per game (50% chance of higher counts); both teams’ average goal timing data suggest late action more likely than an early deluge.

Prediction & bets: Nasarawa United to win, with a likely tight 1-0 or 2-0. Expect second-half action to carry the only clear goal, so the bet on second-half goals is appealing. Also a lean to Under 2.5 goals given the historic thresholds.

AI generated content: figures are estimates, not guarantees. Updated 9 Oct 2026, 20:10

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Nasarawa United FC

D

@ Shooting Stars FC 3SC 0 - 0

W

Niger Tornadoes FC 1 - 0

L

@ Kwara United 2 - 1

D

Rivers United FC 1 - 1

W

Bendel Insurance 1 - 0

Doma United FC

W

Warri Wolves FC 1 - 0

L

@ Katsina United FC 2 - 1

D

Plateau United FC 2 - 2

L

@ Kano Pillars FC 4 - 1

W

Enyimba International FC 2 - 0

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

Points per game

2.33 1

Win %

67% 33%

Goals scored / match

1 1

Goals conceded / match

0.33 2

Total goals / match

1.33 3

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

33% 67%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

Over 0.5 goals

100% 100%

Over 1.5 goals

33% 67%

Over 2.5 goals

0% 67%

Over 3.5 goals

0% 33%

Over 4.5 goals

0% 33%

BTTS

33% 67%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

First half points per game

1.67 0.67

Leading at half time %

33% 0%

Drawing at half time %

67% 67%

Trailing at half time %

0% 33%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.33 0.33

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.67 0.67

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

Corners won / match

8 2

Corners conceded / match

4 4.5

Total corners in their matches

12 6.5

Over 6.5 corners

100% 50%

Over 7.5 corners

100% 50%

Over 8.5 corners

100% 0%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

Cards / match

0 0.5

Over 2.5 cards

0% 0%

Over 3.5 cards

0% 0%

Over 4.5 cards

0% 0%

Over 5.5 cards

0% 0%

Over 6.5 cards

0% 0%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

Shots / match

12.5 8.5

Shots on target / match

5.5 3.5

Shots off target / match

7 5

Shot conversion rate

12% 18%

Shots per goal scored

8.33 5.67

Average possession

57% 45%

Offsides and fouls

Nasarawa United FC Doma United FC

Offsides / match

3.5 3

Over 0.5 offsides

100% 100%

Over 1.5 offsides

100% 100%

Over 2.5 offsides

100% 50%

Fouls / match

18 18.5

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Nasarawa United FC

0-10'

0

11-20'

1

2

21-30'

2

0

31-40'

0

41-50'

0

51-60'

1

0

61-70'

0

2

71-80'

0

1

81-90'

1

Doma United FC

0-10'

1

0

11-20'

0

1

21-30'

0

1

31-40'

3

1

41-50'

1

0

51-60'

1

61-70'

0

71-80'

3

81-90'

1

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Nasarawa United FC

Goalkeeper

Chinemerem Olughu 360' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Harrison Ebah 450' 1 G 0 A

Abubakar Abdullahi 450' 1 G 0 A

Sunday Haruna 270' 0 G 0 A

Alfred Odinaka 270' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Samuel Klingshak Longbak 450' 1 G 0 A

Chidera Nduka 450' 0 G 0 A

Kelechi Emmanuel Ogbodo 360' 0 G 0 A

Austin Onyemaechi 90' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Istifanus Jofrank 270' 1 G 0 A

Mohammed Umar 270' 0 G 0 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Samuel Klingshak Longbak0.00

Chidera Nduka0.00

Harrison Ebah0.00

Abubakar Abdullahi0.00

Chinemerem Olughu0.00

Kelechi Emmanuel Ogbodo0.00

Doma United FC

Goalkeeper

Ibrahim Pius 270' 0 G 0 A

Defender

David Idaiye 90' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Salomon Chigoziem Ulunwa 270' 0 G 0 A

Daniel Simon 90' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Michael Adegbite 180' 0 G 0 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Salomon Chigoziem Ulunwa0.33

Ibrahim Pius0.00

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United FC	7	4	3	0	13	2	11	15
2	Enugu Rangers International FC	6	4	1	1	10	6	4	13
3	Doma United FC	7	4	1	2	10	8	2	13
4	Barau	7	3	3	1	10	7	3	12
5	Bendel Insurance	7	4	0	3	13	11	2	12
6	Katsina United FC	8	3	3	2	10	11	-1	12
7	Kano Pillars FC	7	2	5	0	11	7	4	11
8	Plateau United FC	7	3	2	2	9	8	1	11
9	Kwara United	7	3	1	3	9	7	2	10
10	Ikorodu City FC	7	2	3	2	8	7	1	9
11	Sporting Lagos FC	7	2	3	2	8	8	0	9
12	Nasarawa United FC	6	2	2	2	5	6	-1	8
13	Niger Tornadoes FC	7	2	2	3	6	7	-1	8
14	Shooting Stars FC 3SC	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2	8
15	Abia Warriors FC	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
16	Ranchers Bees	7	2	1	4	9	10	-1	7
17	Warri Wolves FC	7	2	1	4	3	6	-3	7
18	Enyimba International FC	8	2	1	5	11	14	-3	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	1	2	4	4	10	-6	5
20	Kun Khalifat	7	1	2	4	5	14	-9	5

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC kick off?

Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC is a NPFL match at Lafia Township Stadium on Sunday, 11 October 2026, kicking off at 12:00 (America/Sao_Paulo).

How many goals are expected in Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC?

Over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.17 goals.

Will both teams score in Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Nasarawa United FC vs Doma United FC?

About 10 corner kicks are expected. About 0.5 cards are expected.

What is the recent form of Nasarawa United FC and Doma United FC?

Nasarawa United FC: W D L W D. Doma United FC: W L D L W.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.